Aurora has quite the unsightly quarterly bottom line streak going, and has actually managed to escape a nine-digit shortage (in Canadian dollar terms) just when in the previous 5 quarters. ACB Earnings (Quarterly) data by YCharts It doesn't assist that the formerly free-spending business paid too much considerably for specific assets as it was trying to scale up, and is now strained with numerous millions of dollars of goodwill on its books.
Rival, once a huge investor hope following the big-ticket acquisition of Aphria that closed last Might, likewise has an extending bottom line streak. has at least posted one profitable quarter over the previous year-plus, however that's actually very little to write home about-- particularly if we look at the more consistent profitability of selected U.S.
A hazy future at finest It's telling that in its most current quarterly revenues report, Aurora led off by touting its "transformation strategy." A Good Read is its ongoing effort to trim costs through steps like facility closures and employee layoffs. Its present objective is to reach positive adjusted revenues before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) by the very first half of 2023.
Initially, if a business is leading off a revenues report by talking about the obvious efficiency of its cost-cutting effort, it probably has little else to cheer about. Second, favorable adjusted EBITDA is a relatively low goal offered the regular internet profitability of a great numerous Canadian and U.S. publicly traded business.
Yes, it's been trimming the adjusted EBITDA loss, however it was still deep in the red in 2021, at more than 114 million Canadian dollars ($90 million). Meanwhile, there's no reason to believe that ratings of competitors will either combine, or leave of the over-served Canadian market. Nor are the country's consumers most likely to move away from the lower-margin recreational products they seem to prefer.
federal law that would enable pot imports, or a sudden surge in medical cannabis legalization elsewhere abroad, are both pipeline dreams for now. I don't understand if Aurora stock is always going to crash in 2022. But given its current, highly undesirable characteristics integrated with the state of the pot market in The United States and Canada and abroad, I 'd put my cash on it continuing to head south rather than wafting higher in rate.